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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joanne Calderwood won · SUB R1

Elo1493

Elo1367

Joanne CalderwoodvsKalindra FariaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Saturday, August 25, 2018Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Official fight result

Joanne Calderwood won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:57

Model Prediction: Joanne Calderwood wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Joanne Calderwood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanne Calderwood at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Kalindra Faria (52.9%).
Joanne Calderwood has a 8cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Calderwood

Red Corner

Kalindra Faria

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1493

Elo

1367

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

157 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Calderwood

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19

vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19

SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20

vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21

latest

Kalindra FariaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · Oct 17

vs Jessica Eye · Jan 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne CalderwoodMetricKalindra Faria

—

Strikes / min

2.23

—

Strikes absorbed / min

1.44

—

Strike defense

45%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.31

—

Takedown defense

20%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joanne CalderwoodKalindra Faria

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)Kalindra Faria(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +126.3|Blue -126.3

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights1

Kalindra Faria

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights3