← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Cynthia Calvillo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1455

Joanne CalderwoodvsCynthia CalvilloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Sunday, July 16, 2017Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Cynthia Calvillo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cynthia Calvillo wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Cynthia Calvillo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cynthia Calvillo at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Cynthia Calvillo threatens submissions; Joanne Calderwood has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Calderwood

Red Corner

Cynthia Calvillo

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1493

Elo

1455

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Calderwood

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19

vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19

SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20

vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21

latest

Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20

KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21

KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21

vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22

vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne CalderwoodMetricCynthia Calvillo

—

Strikes / min

4.41

—

Strikes absorbed / min

4.12

—

Strike defense

64%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.80

—

Takedown defense

77%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joanne CalderwoodCynthia Calvillo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +38.9|Blue -38.9

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +3.5|Blue -3.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights1

Cynthia Calvillo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12