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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Joanne Calderwood won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Joanne Calderwood
Elo1495
Cortney Casey

Joanne CalderwoodvsCortney CaseyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · Saturday, July 18, 2015Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Joanne Calderwood won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joanne Calderwood wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Joanne Calderwood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanne Calderwood at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Calderwood
Red Corner
VS
Cortney Casey
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1493
Elo
1495
29
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Calderwood
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19
W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19
L
SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21
latest
Cortney Casey
oldest →
W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20
L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20
L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21
W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21
L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne CalderwoodMetricCortney Casey
—
Strikes / min
4.29
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.00
—
Strike defense
55%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.39
—
Takedown defense
39%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes60.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Joanne CalderwoodCortney Casey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -46.5|Blue +46.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1

Cortney Casey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15