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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joanne Calderwood won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1477

Joanne CalderwoodvsAndrea LeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Saturday, September 7, 2019Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Joanne Calderwood won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Andrea Lee wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Joanne Calderwood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andrea Lee at -250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Andrea Lee has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Joanne Calderwood

Red Corner

Andrea Lee

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1493

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanne Calderwood

oldest →

vs Ariane Lipski · Jan 19

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19

SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20

vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21

latest

Andrea LeeL5 streak

oldest →

vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23

vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23

vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24

vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanne CalderwoodMetricAndrea Lee

—

Strikes / min

4.62

—

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

—

Strike defense

61%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.65

—

Takedown defense

53%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joanne CalderwoodAndrea Lee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)Andrea Lee(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.5|Blue -16.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +2.6|Blue -2.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights1

Andrea Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14