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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won · U-DEC R3
Elo1427
Elo1495

Joanna JedrzejczykvsTecia TorresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Joanna Jedrzejczyk won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanna Jedrzejczyk at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joanna Jedrzejczyk has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Red Corner
VS
Tecia Torres
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1427
Elo
1495
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'1"
165.1 cm
Reach
152.4 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rose Namajunas · Apr 18
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18
W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19
L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20
L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22
latest
Tecia Torres
oldest →
L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Aug 19
W
vs Brianna Van Buren · Jun 20
W
KOvs Sam Hughes · Dec 20
W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 21
L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Apr 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joanna JedrzejczykMetricTecia Torres
6.28
Strikes / min
—
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
—
62%
Strike defense
—
0.27
TDs / 15 min
—
80%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1581 vs 1556Strikes120.5 vs 65.8Takedowns0.2 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.13Form-0.3 vs 0.2
Joanna JedrzejczykTecia Torres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Tecia Torres(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -67.5|Blue +67.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15

Tecia Torres

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach60.0"
Fights3