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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Gadzhimurad Antigulov won · SUB R1

Elo1491

Elo1390

Joachim ChristensenvsGadzhimurad AntigulovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, May 13, 2017Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Gadzhimurad Antigulov won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:21

Style matchupJoachim Christensen: StrikervsGadzhimurad Antigulov: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Joachim Christensen wins(60.5%)

Actual result: Gadzhimurad Antigulov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joachim Christensen at +315 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joachim Christensen is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gadzhimurad Antigulov has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov threatens submissions; Joachim Christensen has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Joachim Christensen has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Joachim Christensen

Red Corner

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Blue Corner

+315

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-380

(79%)

1491

Elo

1390

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joachim Christensen

oldest →

SUBvs Henrique da Silva · Oct 16

KOvs Bojan Mihajlovic · Jan 17

latest

Gadzhimurad AntigulovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 16

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jul 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 19

SUBvs Paul Craig · Jul 20

KOvs Maxim Grishin · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joachim ChristensenMetricGadzhimurad Antigulov

3.78

Strikes / min

2.08

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

4.21

46%

Strike defense

40%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

5.08

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49Δ 2.62 — meaningful gap-2.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joachim ChristensenGadzhimurad Antigulov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joachim Christensen(3 fights)Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +100.7|Blue -100.7

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -57.0|Blue +57.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joachim ChristensenTargetGadzhimurad Antigulov

By target zone

33% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 50%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

33% acc · 50%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joachim Christensen rounds

even

Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds

Round 1Gadzhimurad Antigulov edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

2 / 4

33%

Sig Str %

50%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

7 / 12

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	2 / 4	7 / 12	1 / 1	1
1	Joachim Christensen	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0

Joachim Christensen

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6