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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

JJ Aldrich won · U-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1487

JJ AldrichvsVanessa DemopoulosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

JJ Aldrich won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins(66.5%)

Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JJ Aldrich at -475 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
JJ Aldrich has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
JJ Aldrich has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
JJ Aldrich has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

JJ Aldrich

Red Corner

Vanessa Demopoulos

Blue Corner

-475

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1522

Elo

1487

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'2"

170.18 cm

Reach

149.86 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Vanessa DemopoulosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23

vs Emily Ducote · May 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24

vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

JJ AldrichMetricVanessa Demopoulos

3.92

Strikes / min

3.37

4.34

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

61%

Strike defense

41%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.32

67%

Takedown defense

26%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.42Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-2.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

JJ AldrichVanessa Demopoulos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

JJ Aldrich(10 fights)Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +34.7|Blue -34.7

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -48.2|Blue +48.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

JJ AldrichTargetVanessa Demopoulos

By target zone

66% acc · 81%

Head

34% acc · 59%

89% acc · 18%

Body

69% acc · 31%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

88% acc · 10%

By position

69% acc · 69%

Distance

38% acc · 76%

86% acc · 6%

Clinch

68% acc · 21%

68% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

JJ Aldrich rounds

even

Vanessa Demopoulos rounds

Round 1JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control3:18

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 3JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control1:01

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:55Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

93 / 134

Sig Strikes

70 / 162

67.7%

Sig Str %

45.3%

121 / 165

Total Strikes

87 / 185

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 5

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:19

Ctrl Time

1:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Vanessa Demopoulos	17 / 30	28 / 43	0 / 1
1	JJ Aldrich	17 / 28	25 / 38	1 / 1
2	Vanessa Demopoulos	30 / 79	31 / 80	0 / 1
2	JJ Aldrich	38 / 54	41 / 57	0 / 0
3	Vanessa Demopoulos	23 / 53	28 / 62	0 / 3
3	JJ Aldrich	38 / 52	55 / 70	0 / 1

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16

Vanessa Demopoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach59.0"

Fights10