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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

JJ Aldrich won · U-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

JJ AldrichvsGillian RobertsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

JJ Aldrich won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJJ Aldrich: Well-roundedvsGillian Robertson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(54.6%)

Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
JJ Aldrich has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
JJ Aldrich has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

JJ Aldrich

Red Corner

Gillian Robertson

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1522

Elo

1544

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Gillian RobertsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

JJ AldrichMetricGillian Robertson

3.92

Strikes / min

2.71

4.34

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

61%

Strike defense

56%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

2.76

67%

Takedown defense

38%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.42evenly matched on net striking-0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

JJ AldrichGillian Robertson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

JJ Aldrich(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.4|Blue +22.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

JJ AldrichTargetGillian Robertson

By target zone

49% acc · 93%

Head

21% acc · 33%

100% acc · 5%

Body

50% acc · 35%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

77% acc · 33%

By position

47% acc · 82%

Distance

34% acc · 87%

82% acc · 15%

Clinch

88% acc · 13%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

JJ Aldrich rounds

even

Gillian Robertson rounds

Round 1JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control1:16

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:51

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 118

Sig Strikes

52 / 139

50.7%

Sig Str %

38.3%

76 / 137

Total Strikes

67 / 154

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

3:07

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gillian Robertson	16 / 57	16 / 57	0 / 2
1	JJ Aldrich	19 / 35	19 / 35	0 / 1
2	Gillian Robertson	17 / 40	19 / 42	1 / 3
2	JJ Aldrich	23 / 44	30 / 51	0 / 0
3	Gillian Robertson	19 / 42	32 / 55	0 / 1
3	JJ Aldrich	18 / 39	27 / 51	0 / 0

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20