Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jiri Prochazka won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1503

Elo1502

Jiri ProchazkavsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Saturday, October 4, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jiri Prochazka won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:04

Style matchupJiri Prochazka: Pressure fightervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Jiri Prochazka wins(83.9%)

Actual result: Jiri Prochazka wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jiri Prochazka at -194 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jiri Prochazka is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Jiri Prochazka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).
Jiri Prochazka has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jiri Prochazka

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-194

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+162

(38%)

1503

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

203.2 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jiri Prochazka

oldest →

KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 23

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24

KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Jan 25

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Apr 26

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

vs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 22

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jiri ProchazkaMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

5.61

Strikes / min

3.88

5.67

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

45%

Strike defense

49%

0.49

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jiri ProchazkaKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jiri Prochazka(9 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jiri ProchazkaTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

44% acc · 62%

Head

35% acc · 67%

64% acc · 23%

Body

71% acc · 18%

85% acc · 15%

Leg

71% acc · 15%

By position

48% acc · 86%

Distance

41% acc · 94%

91% acc · 14%

Clinch

57% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jiri Prochazka rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jiri Prochazka edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:12

Knockdowns1

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 138

Sig Strikes

66 / 158

47.7%

Sig Str %

42%

71 / 138

Total Strikes

66 / 158

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	15 / 32	15 / 32	0 / 0
1	Jiri Prochazka	12 / 24	12 / 24	0 / 0
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	24 / 65	24 / 65	0 / 0
2	Jiri Prochazka	12 / 43	12 / 43	0 / 0
3	Khalil Rountree Jr.	27 / 61	27 / 61	0 / 0
3	Jiri Prochazka	47 / 71	47 / 71	0 / 0

Jiri Prochazka

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17