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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jiri Prochazka won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1503

Elo1485

Jiri ProchazkavsJamahal HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Saturday, January 18, 2025Inglewood, California, USA

Official fight result

Jiri Prochazka won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:01

Style matchupJiri Prochazka: Pressure fightervsJamahal Hill: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jiri Prochazka wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Jiri Prochazka wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jiri Prochazka at +102 American odds

+$102 profit

$202 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jiri Prochazka is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Jamahal Hill has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Jamahal Hill is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Jiri Prochazka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jiri Prochazka

Red Corner

Jamahal Hill

Blue Corner

+102

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1503

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'4"

203.2 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jiri Prochazka

oldest →

KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 23

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24

KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24

KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 25

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Apr 26

latest

Jamahal HillL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 22

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jiri ProchazkaMetricJamahal Hill

5.61

Strikes / min

6.19

5.67

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

45%

Strike defense

44%

0.49

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

73%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.06Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jiri ProchazkaJamahal Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jiri Prochazka(9 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.0|Blue -18.0

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jiri ProchazkaTargetJamahal Hill

By target zone

55% acc · 75%

Head

38% acc · 68%

83% acc · 20%

Body

83% acc · 30%

50% acc · 5%

Leg

67% acc · 2%

By position

55% acc · 73%

Distance

43% acc · 84%

77% acc · 10%

Clinch

68% acc · 16%

70% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jiri Prochazka rounds

even

Jamahal Hill rounds

Round 1Jiri Prochazka edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns1

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jiri Prochazka edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

97 / 165

Sig Strikes

81 / 177

57.7%

Sig Str %

45.7%

101 / 170

Total Strikes

84 / 180

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamahal Hill	23 / 64	25 / 66	0 / 0
1	Jiri Prochazka	32 / 58	32 / 58	0 / 0
2	Jamahal Hill	38 / 74	38 / 74	0 / 0
2	Jiri Prochazka	22 / 49	22 / 49	0 / 0
3	Jamahal Hill	20 / 39	21 / 40	0 / 0
3	Jiri Prochazka	43 / 58	47 / 63	0 / 0

Jiri Prochazka

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11