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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Carlos Ulberg won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1503
Elo1573
Carlos Ulberg

Jiri ProchazkavsCarlos UlbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Carlos Ulberg won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:45

Style matchupJiri Prochazka: Pressure fightervsCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Jiri Prochazka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Carlos Ulberg has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jiri Prochazka
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Ulberg
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1503
Elo
1573
33
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jiri ProchazkaW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 23
W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24
W
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Jan 25
W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 25
latest
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23
W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24
W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24
W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25
W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jiri ProchazkaMetricCarlos Ulberg
5.61
Strikes / min
6.57
5.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
45%
Strike defense
51%
0.49
TDs / 15 min
0.53
68%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.06Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap+2.54
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801508153515631590← oldermost recent →
Jiri Prochazka(9 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -69.2|Blue +69.2
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jiri Prochazka

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8

Carlos Ulberg

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10