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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jinh Yu Frey won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1480

Jinh Yu FreyvsAshley YoderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · Saturday, July 31, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jinh Yu Frey won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJinh Yu Frey: Well-roundedvsAshley Yoder: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Jinh Yu Frey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ashley Yoder at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jinh Yu Frey has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ashley Yoder has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jinh Yu Frey

Red Corner

Ashley Yoder

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1477

Elo

1480

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jinh Yu FreyL4 streak

oldest →

vs Gloria de Paula · Mar 21

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 22

KOvs Polyana Viana · Nov 22

vs Elise Reed · Jun 23

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Oct 23

latest

Ashley YoderL2 streak

oldest →

vs Randa Markos · Oct 19

vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20

vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20

vs Angela Hill · Mar 21

vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jinh Yu FreyMetricAshley Yoder

2.97

Strikes / min

3.42

4.23

Strikes absorbed / min

4.13

52%

Strike defense

47%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

1.09

90%

Takedown defense

66%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.26evenly matched on net striking-0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jinh Yu FreyAshley Yoder

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)Ashley Yoder(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.8|Blue +2.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jinh Yu FreyTargetAshley Yoder

By target zone

36% acc · 52%

Head

31% acc · 65%

60% acc · 17%

Body

60% acc · 16%

87% acc · 31%

Leg

74% acc · 19%

By position

45% acc · 88%

Distance

39% acc · 99%

91% acc · 11%

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jinh Yu Frey rounds

even

Ashley Yoder rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:02

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 2Ashley Yoder edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

88 / 185

Sig Strikes

91 / 236

47.3%

Sig Str %

38%

89 / 186

Total Strikes

96 / 241

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 8

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ashley Yoder	28 / 69	33 / 74	0 / 0
1	Jinh Yu Frey	28 / 56	29 / 57	0 / 1
2	Ashley Yoder	38 / 90	38 / 90	0 / 4
2	Jinh Yu Frey	35 / 67	35 / 67	0 / 0
3	Ashley Yoder	25 / 77	25 / 77	0 / 4
3	Jinh Yu Frey	25 / 62	25 / 62	0 / 0

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights8

Ashley Yoder

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights11