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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Marcus Brimage won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Jimy HettesvsMarcus BrimageUFC Prediction Result

UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · Saturday, September 22, 2012Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Marcus Brimage won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimy Hettes: WrestlervsMarcus Brimage: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jimy Hettes wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Marcus Brimage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimy Hettes at -400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marcus Brimage has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jimy Hettes

Red Corner

Marcus Brimage

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+355

(22%)

1355

Elo

1355

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'4"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimy HettesL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Aug 11

vs Nam Phan · Dec 11

SUBvs Rob Whiteford · Oct 13

KOvs Dennis Bermudez · Mar 14

KOvs Diego Brandao · Apr 15

latest

Marcus BrimageL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13

vs Russell Doane · Jul 14

KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15

KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimy HettesMetricMarcus Brimage

3.47

Strikes / min

3.97

3.50

Strikes absorbed / min

3.64

57%

Strike defense

56%

5.20

TDs / 15 min

0.56

61%

Takedown defense

80%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimy HettesMarcus Brimage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimy Hettes(6 fights)Marcus Brimage(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -2.6|Blue +2.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +113.0|Blue -113.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimy HettesTargetMarcus Brimage

By target zone

48% acc · 93%

Head

29% acc · 47%

100% acc · 5%

Body

53% acc · 44%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

48% acc · 90%

Distance

105

39% acc · 95%

80% acc · 5%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

83% acc · 6%

Ground

25% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimy Hettes rounds

even

Marcus Brimage rounds

Round 1Marcus Brimage edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

50Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jimy Hettes edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns2

Control2:35

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Marcus Brimage edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

87 / 175

Sig Strikes

111 / 282

50.7%

Sig Str %

37.7%

113 / 204

Total Strikes

120 / 294

2 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:35

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marcus Brimage	50 / 128	57 / 136	0 / 0
1	Jimy Hettes	31 / 69	32 / 70	0 / 3
2	Marcus Brimage	16 / 52	18 / 56	0 / 0
2	Jimy Hettes	24 / 40	48 / 66	2 / 4
3	Marcus Brimage	45 / 102	45 / 102	0 / 0
3	Jimy Hettes	32 / 66	33 / 68	0 / 2

Jimy Hettes

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8