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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jimy Hettes won · SUB R2

Elo1355

Elo1500

Jimy HettesvsAlex CaceresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · Sunday, August 14, 2011Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

Official fight result

Jimy Hettes won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:12

Style matchupJimy Hettes: WrestlervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Jimy Hettes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Caceres at +375 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimy Hettes threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Jimy Hettes

Red Corner

Alex Caceres

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+375

(21%)

1355

Elo

1500

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimy HettesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nam Phan · Dec 11

vs Marcus Brimage · Sep 12

SUBvs Rob Whiteford · Oct 13

KOvs Dennis Bermudez · Mar 14

KOvs Diego Brandao · Apr 15

latest

Alex CaceresL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22

KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22

vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23

vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23

vs Sean Woodson · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimy HettesMetricAlex Caceres

3.47

Strikes / min

4.21

3.50

Strikes absorbed / min

3.09

57%

Strike defense

62%

5.20

TDs / 15 min

0.54

61%

Takedown defense

64%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimy HettesAlex Caceres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimy Hettes(6 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -145.2|Blue +145.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimy HettesTargetAlex Caceres

By target zone

33% acc · 100%

Head

42% acc · 62%

0% acc

Body

80% acc · 31%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

0% acc

Distance

38% acc · 23%

Clinch

75% acc · 23%

67% acc · 100%

Ground

54% acc · 54%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimy Hettes rounds

even

Alex Caceres rounds

Round 1Alex Caceres edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control2:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:57Control

Round 2Jimy Hettes edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns3

Control2:28

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 7

Sig Strikes

13 / 25

16.5%

Sig Str %

75%

31 / 44

Total Strikes

25 / 38

5 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

57.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:28

Ctrl Time

2:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Caceres	12 / 24	24 / 37	0 / 0	0
1	Jimy Hettes	2 / 6	18 / 29	2 / 5	0
2	Alex Caceres	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
2	Jimy Hettes	0 / 1	13 / 15	3 / 4	2

Jimy Hettes

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Alex Caceres

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights29