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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jimmy Flick won · SUB

Elo1487

Elo1458

Jimmy FlickvsCody DurdenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Saturday, December 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jimmy Flick won

SUB

Style matchupJimmy Flick: WrestlervsCody Durden: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jimmy Flick wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Jimmy Flick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimmy Flick at -157 American odds

+$64 profit

$164 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimmy Flick threatens submissions; Cody Durden has lost 56% of fights by sub.
Cody Durden has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jimmy Flick

Red Corner

Cody Durden

Blue Corner

-157

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+137

(42%)

1487

Elo

1458

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmy FlickL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 23

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 23

SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Jan 24

vs Nate Maness · Jun 24

vs Matt Schnell · Apr 25

latest

Cody Durden

oldest →

KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25

vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26

DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26

SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmy FlickMetricCody Durden

1.67

Strikes / min

3.24

4.70

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

43%

Strike defense

50%

2.36

TDs / 15 min

3.99

Takedown defense

56%

3.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.03Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmy FlickCody Durden

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmy Flick(6 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +28.9|Blue -28.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmy FlickTargetCody Durden

By target zone

57% acc · 67%

Head

61% acc · 81%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 14%

33% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

43% acc · 100%

Distance

61% acc · 81%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

Ground

100% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmy Flick rounds

even

Cody Durden rounds

Round 1Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:21Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 14

Sig Strikes

21 / 32

42%

Sig Str %

65%

7 / 15

Total Strikes

30 / 43

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Durden	21 / 32	30 / 43	2 / 2	0
1	Jimmy Flick	6 / 14	7 / 15	0 / 1	1

Jimmy Flick

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17