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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Draw won · M-DEC R3

Elo1517

Elo1515

Jimmy CrutevsRodolfo BellatoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Saturday, February 8, 2025Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Draw

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimmy Crute: WrestlervsRodolfo Bellato: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodolfo Bellato has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jimmy Crute

Red Corner

Rodolfo Bellato

Blue Corner

+124

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-146

(59%)

1517

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmy CruteW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 21

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 21

SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Jul 23

SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 25

SUBvs Ivan Erslan · Sep 25

latest

Rodolfo Bellato

oldest →

KOvs Ihor Potieria · Dec 23

vs Paul Craig · Jun 25

vs Navajo Stirling · Sep 25

KOvs Luke Fernandez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmy CruteMetricRodolfo Bellato

4.15

Strikes / min

5.37

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

5.86

42%

Strike defense

46%

4.39

TDs / 15 min

1.38

58%

Takedown defense

94%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmy CruteRodolfo Bellato

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmy Crute(10 fights)Rodolfo Bellato(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Recent Form

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmy CruteTargetRodolfo Bellato

By target zone

49% acc · 88%

Head

47% acc · 40%

80% acc · 8%

Body

83% acc · 27%

56% acc · 5%

Leg

81% acc · 33%

By position

45% acc · 73%

Distance

63% acc · 96%

85% acc · 10%

Clinch

80% acc · 4%

69% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmy Crute rounds

even

Rodolfo Bellato rounds

Round 1Jimmy Crute edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control3:52

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Rodolfo Bellato edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:00

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rodolfo Bellato edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:29Control

Fight Stats

Totals

106 / 209

Sig Strikes

89 / 141

51.3%

Sig Str %

49.3%

139 / 247

Total Strikes

95 / 148

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:52

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rodolfo Bellato	1 / 5	4 / 8	0 / 1
1	Jimmy Crute	27 / 47	59 / 84	0 / 0
2	Rodolfo Bellato	48 / 70	48 / 70	0 / 0
2	Jimmy Crute	46 / 95	46 / 95	0 / 2
3	Rodolfo Bellato	40 / 66	43 / 70	1 / 1
3	Jimmy Crute	33 / 67	34 / 68	0 / 1

Jimmy Crute

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Rodolfo Bellato

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5