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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jamahal Hill won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1517

Elo1485

Jimmy CrutevsJamahal HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · Saturday, December 4, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:48

Style matchupJimmy Crute: WrestlervsJamahal Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jamahal Hill has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).
Jamahal Hill has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jimmy Crute

Red Corner

Jamahal Hill

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1517

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'4"

187.96 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmy CruteW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 21

SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Jul 23

vs Rodolfo Bellato · Feb 25

SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 25

SUBvs Ivan Erslan · Sep 25

latest

Jamahal HillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25

vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmy CruteMetricJamahal Hill

4.15

Strikes / min

6.19

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

42%

Strike defense

44%

4.39

TDs / 15 min

0.00

58%

Takedown defense

73%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmy CruteJamahal Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmy Crute(10 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.8|Blue -31.8

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmy CruteTargetJamahal Hill

By target zone

29% acc · 33%

Head

25% acc · 50%

67% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 50%

100% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

45% acc · 83%

Distance

14% acc · 25%

100% acc · 17%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmy Crute rounds

even

Jamahal Hill rounds

Round 1Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 12

Sig Strikes

4 / 10

50%

Sig Str %

40%

6 / 12

Total Strikes

4 / 10

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamahal Hill	4 / 10	4 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Jimmy Crute	6 / 12	6 / 12	0 / 1	0

Jimmy Crute

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11