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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · SUB R2

Elo1517

Elo1525

Jimmy CrutevsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 8, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:55

Style matchupJimmy Crute: WrestlervsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jimmy Crute wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alonzo Menifield has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jimmy Crute

Red Corner

Alonzo Menifield

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1517

Elo

1525

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmy CruteW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 21

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 21

vs Rodolfo Bellato · Feb 25

SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 25

SUBvs Ivan Erslan · Sep 25

latest

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmy CruteMetricAlonzo Menifield

4.15

Strikes / min

3.77

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.81

42%

Strike defense

50%

4.39

TDs / 15 min

0.50

58%

Takedown defense

78%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmy CruteAlonzo Menifield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmy Crute(10 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.1|Blue +8.1

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red +315.0|Blue -315.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmy CruteTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

17% acc · 19%

Head

55% acc · 86%

95% acc · 73%

Body

100% acc · 10%

67% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

19% acc · 23%

Distance

53% acc · 81%

91% acc · 77%

Clinch

100% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmy Crute rounds

even

Alonzo Menifield rounds

Round 1Jimmy Crute edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control1:01

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 2Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:11

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 53

Sig Strikes

21 / 36

36.5%

Sig Str %

59%

32 / 59

Total Strikes

25 / 40

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

1:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alonzo Menifield	11 / 16	15 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Jimmy Crute	25 / 37	31 / 43	0 / 3	0
2	Alonzo Menifield	10 / 20	10 / 20	0 / 0	1
2	Jimmy Crute	1 / 16	1 / 16	1 / 2	0

Jimmy Crute

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17