← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Petr Yan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1532

Jimmie RiveravsPetr YanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Saturday, June 8, 2019Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimmie Rivera: Pressure fightervsPetr Yan: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(68.8%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Petr Yan at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jimmie Rivera

Red Corner

Petr Yan

Blue Corner

+300

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-360

(78%)

1493

Elo

1532

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'4"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmie Rivera

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 18

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20

vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21

latest

Petr YanW4 streak

oldest →

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23

vs Song Yadong · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmie RiveraMetricPetr Yan

4.03

Strikes / min

5.16

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

60%

Strike defense

59%

0.88

TDs / 15 min

1.70

92%

Takedown defense

86%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmie RiveraPetr Yan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)Petr Yan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.0|Blue +39.0

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmie RiveraTargetPetr Yan

By target zone

29% acc · 58%

Head

24% acc · 71%

63% acc · 21%

Body

68% acc · 23%

70% acc · 22%

Leg

75% acc · 5%

By position

35% acc · 82%

Distance

25% acc · 75%

60% acc · 12%

Clinch

83% acc · 18%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

40% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmie Rivera rounds

even

Petr Yan rounds

Round 1Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:25

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 192

Sig Strikes

56 / 189

38.7%

Sig Str %

29%

76 / 195

Total Strikes

58 / 192

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Petr Yan	14 / 55	15 / 56	0 / 2
1	Jimmie Rivera	17 / 40	19 / 42	0 / 0
2	Petr Yan	24 / 64	25 / 66	0 / 0
2	Jimmie Rivera	27 / 63	28 / 64	0 / 1
3	Petr Yan	18 / 70	18 / 70	1 / 1
3	Jimmie Rivera	29 / 89	29 / 89	0 / 2

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15