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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jimmie Rivera won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1488

Jimmie RiveravsCody StamannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jimmie Rivera won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimmie Rivera: Pressure fightervsCody Stamann: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(76.5%)

Actual result: Jimmie Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at +112 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimmie Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jimmie Rivera has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jimmie Rivera has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jimmie Rivera

Red Corner

Cody Stamann

Blue Corner

-141

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+112

(47%)

1493

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimmie RiveraL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 18

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Petr Yan · Jun 19

vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21

latest

Cody StamannL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimmie RiveraMetricCody Stamann

4.03

Strikes / min

4.32

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

60%

Strike defense

60%

0.88

TDs / 15 min

2.17

92%

Takedown defense

76%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimmie RiveraCody Stamann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)Cody Stamann(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.0|Blue -5.0

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +364.0|Blue -364.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimmie RiveraTargetCody Stamann

By target zone

36% acc · 33%

Head

24% acc · 50%

81% acc · 27%

Body

73% acc · 31%

66% acc · 40%

Leg

83% acc · 19%

By position

47% acc · 67%

Distance

30% acc · 69%

75% acc · 25%

Clinch

73% acc · 31%

80% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimmie Rivera rounds

even

Cody Stamann rounds

Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:33

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 2Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:52

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:27Control

Round 3Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:34

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 89

Sig Strikes

26 / 72

56%

Sig Str %

36.7%

90 / 134

Total Strikes

62 / 108

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 5

75%

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:59

Ctrl Time

4:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Stamann	7 / 16	14 / 23	0 / 1	0
1	Jimmie Rivera	15 / 25	27 / 37	1 / 2	0
2	Cody Stamann	11 / 28	28 / 45	1 / 2	0
2	Jimmie Rivera	15 / 23	21 / 32	1 / 1	0
3	Cody Stamann	8 / 28	20 / 40	0 / 2	0
3	Jimmie Rivera	18 / 41	42 / 65	0 / 0	1

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14