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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Volkan Oezdemir won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1373

Elo1515

Jimi ManuwavsVolkan OezdemirUFC Prediction Result

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2017Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:42

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Jimi Manuwa has lost 83% of fights by KO.
Jimi Manuwa has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa

Red Corner

Volkan Oezdemir

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1373

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricVolkan Oezdemir

3.43

Strikes / min

4.99

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

49%

Strike defense

55%

0.53

TDs / 15 min

0.50

70%

Takedown defense

80%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimi ManuwaVolkan Oezdemir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -142.1|Blue +142.1

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +71.0|Blue -71.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetVolkan Oezdemir

By target zone

0% acc

Head

59% acc · 83%

100% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 8%

100% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

0% acc

Distance

43% acc · 25%

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

89% acc · 67%

Ground

33% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimi Manuwa rounds

even

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:15

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 4

Sig Strikes

12 / 19

50%

Sig Str %

63%

2 / 4

Total Strikes

13 / 20

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Volkan Oezdemir	12 / 19	13 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Jimi Manuwa	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0	0

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16