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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jimi Manuwa won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1373
Elo1355
Ryan Jimmo

Jimi ManuwavsRyan JimmoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · Saturday, October 26, 2013Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:41

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsRyan Jimmo: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(70.6%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Jimi Manuwa is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Ryan Jimmo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Ryan Jimmo is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Jimi Manuwa has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Ryan Jimmo has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jimi Manuwa has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Jimmo
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1373
Elo
1355
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17
L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18
L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18
L
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19
latest
Ryan JimmoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs James Te Huna · Feb 13
W
vs Igor Pokrajac · Jun 13
W
KOvs Sean O'Connell · Apr 14
L
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 14
L
vs Francimar Barroso · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricRyan Jimmo
3.43
Strikes / min
3.12
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
49%
Strike defense
46%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
0.45
70%
Takedown defense
87%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1520Strikes35.5 vs 33.7Takedowns1.5 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.3
Jimi ManuwaRyan Jimmo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Ryan Jimmo(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +18.5|Blue -18.5
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetRyan Jimmo

By target zone

8
31% acc · 17%
Head
11
42% acc · 31%
9
75% acc · 19%
Body
9
82% acc · 25%
31
91% acc · 65%
Leg
16
94% acc · 44%

By position

21
53% acc · 44%
Distance
17
53% acc · 47%
27
84% acc · 56%
Clinch
19
86% acc · 53%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jimi Manuwa rounds
0
even
1
Ryan Jimmo rounds
Round 1Jimi Manuwa edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control1:02
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 2Ryan Jimmo edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:33
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:48Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
48 / 72
Sig Strikes
36 / 54
64%
Sig Str %
69%
51 / 76
Total Strikes
37 / 55
0 / 4
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:35
Ctrl Time
3:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ryan Jimmo20 / 3420 / 340 / 00
1Jimi Manuwa33 / 4635 / 480 / 20
2Ryan Jimmo16 / 2017 / 210 / 10
2Jimi Manuwa15 / 2616 / 280 / 20

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12

Ryan Jimmo

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7