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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jan Blachowicz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1373

Elo1493

Jimi ManuwavsJan BlachowiczUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · Saturday, March 17, 2018London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jan Blachowicz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsJan Blachowicz: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jan Blachowicz at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa

Red Corner

Jan Blachowicz

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1373

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Jan Blachowicz

oldest →

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22

vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23

vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25

vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricJan Blachowicz

3.43

Strikes / min

3.55

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

49%

Strike defense

52%

0.53

TDs / 15 min

0.98

70%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimi ManuwaJan Blachowicz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -120.2|Blue +120.2

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +140.0|Blue -140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetJan Blachowicz

By target zone

20% acc · 43%

Head

47% acc · 84%

74% acc · 46%

Body

73% acc · 11%

50% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

31% acc · 86%

Distance

49% acc · 91%

83% acc · 14%

Clinch

67% acc · 8%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimi Manuwa rounds

even

Jan Blachowicz rounds

Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns0

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jan Blachowicz edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:21Control

Round 3Jan Blachowicz edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

42Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 110

Sig Strikes

97 / 191

33%

Sig Str %

50%

37 / 110

Total Strikes

124 / 219

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

2:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jan Blachowicz	27 / 65	38 / 76	0 / 1
1	Jimi Manuwa	8 / 33	8 / 33	0 / 1
2	Jan Blachowicz	28 / 55	33 / 60	0 / 4
2	Jimi Manuwa	16 / 41	16 / 41	0 / 1
3	Jan Blachowicz	42 / 71	53 / 83	1 / 1
3	Jimi Manuwa	13 / 36	13 / 36	0 / 0

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21