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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jimi Manuwa won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1373

Elo1353

Jimi ManuwavsCyrille DiabateUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · Saturday, February 16, 2013London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 5:00

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsCyrille Diabate: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Cyrille Diabate has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jimi Manuwa has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa

Red Corner

Cyrille Diabate

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1373

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'6"

200.66 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Cyrille Diabate

oldest →

vs Steve Cantwell · Mar 11

SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11

vs Tom DeBlass · Apr 12

SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12

SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricCyrille Diabate

3.43

Strikes / min

4.06

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

1.78

49%

Strike defense

60%

0.53

TDs / 15 min

1.17

70%

Takedown defense

53%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap+2.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimi ManuwaCyrille Diabate

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.3|Blue -20.3

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetCyrille Diabate

By target zone

38% acc · 56%

Head

25% acc · 11%

33% acc · 6%

Body

78% acc · 78%

100% acc · 39%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

39% acc · 50%

Distance

40% acc · 22%

80% acc · 44%

Clinch

78% acc · 78%

33% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimi Manuwa rounds

even

Cyrille Diabate rounds

Round 1Jimi Manuwa edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns3

Control2:23

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 36

Sig Strikes

9 / 14

50%

Sig Str %

64%

18 / 36

Total Strikes

11 / 16

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:23

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cyrille Diabate	9 / 14	11 / 16	0 / 0	0
1	Jimi Manuwa	18 / 36	18 / 36	3 / 3	0

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Cyrille Diabate

StanceSouthpaw

Height78.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8