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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jimi Manuwa won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1373
Elo1492
Corey Anderson

Jimi ManuwavsCorey AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · Saturday, March 18, 2017London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:05

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsCorey Anderson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at +125 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Jimi Manuwa is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • Corey Anderson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa
Red Corner
VS
Corey Anderson
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1373
Elo
1492
46
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17
L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18
L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18
L
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19
latest
Corey Anderson
oldest →
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18
W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18
W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19
L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricCorey Anderson
3.43
Strikes / min
4.43
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.22
49%
Strike defense
59%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
4.89
70%
Takedown defense
83%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 2.75 — meaningful gap+2.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1550 vs 1553Strikes30.7 vs 62.5Takedowns0.4 vs 3.6Sub Atts0.29 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.6
Jimi ManuwaCorey Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Corey Anderson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -118.9|Blue +118.9
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +62.0|Blue -62.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetCorey Anderson

By target zone

5
45% acc · 83%
Head
4
17% acc · 67%
0
0% acc
Body
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 17%
Leg
2
100% acc · 33%

By position

6
46% acc · 100%
Distance
5
19% acc · 83%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 17%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jimi Manuwa rounds
0
even
0
Corey Anderson rounds
Round 1Jimi Manuwa edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 13
Sig Strikes
6 / 27
46%
Sig Str %
22%
6 / 13
Total Strikes
6 / 27
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 3
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Corey Anderson6 / 276 / 270 / 30
1Jimi Manuwa6 / 136 / 130 / 00

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15