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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Aleksandar Rakic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1373

Elo1471

Jimi ManuwavsAleksandar RakicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Aleksandar Rakic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:47

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Aleksandar Rakic wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Aleksandar Rakic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aleksandar Rakic at -255 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jimi Manuwa is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Aleksandar Rakic has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Aleksandar Rakic has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa

Red Corner

Aleksandar Rakic

Blue Corner

+215

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1373

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'4"

200.66 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

latest

Aleksandar RakicL4 streak

oldest →

vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricAleksandar Rakic

3.43

Strikes / min

4.13

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

49%

Strike defense

51%

0.53

TDs / 15 min

0.64

70%

Takedown defense

85%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimi ManuwaAleksandar Rakic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -98.2|Blue +98.2

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetAleksandar Rakic

By target zone

50% acc · 50%

Head

20% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 50%

Leg

50% acc · 50%

By position

67% acc · 100%

Distance

29% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimi Manuwa rounds

even

Aleksandar Rakic rounds

Round 1Aleksandar Rakic edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 3

Sig Strikes

2 / 7

66%

Sig Str %

28%

2 / 3

Total Strikes

2 / 7

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Aleksandar Rakic	2 / 7	2 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Jimi Manuwa	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0	0

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Aleksandar Rakic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11