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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jim Miller won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1516

Elo1362

Jim MillervsTakanori GomiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · Saturday, July 9, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jim Miller won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:18

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jim Miller at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jim Miller threatens submissions; Takanori Gomi has lost 44% of fights by sub.
Takanori Gomi has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Takanori Gomi

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1516

Elo

1362

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Takanori GomiL4 streak

oldest →

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Apr 14

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricTakanori Gomi

2.92

Strikes / min

3.81

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.52

56%

Strike defense

60%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

1.23

47%

Takedown defense

63%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerTakanori Gomi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +154.3|Blue -154.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetTakanori Gomi

By target zone

31% acc · 100%

Head

0% acc

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

13% acc · 13%

Distance

20% acc · 100%

Clinch

39% acc · 88%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Takanori Gomi rounds

Round 1Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:33

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 26

Sig Strikes

1 / 5

30%

Sig Str %

20%

13 / 32

Total Strikes

1 / 5

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:33

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Takanori Gomi	1 / 5	1 / 5	0 / 0	0
1	Jim Miller	8 / 26	13 / 32	1 / 1	0

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13