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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Jim Miller won · SUB R1

Elo1516

Elo1489

Jim MillervsRoosevelt RobertsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jim Miller won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:25

Model Prediction: Roosevelt Roberts wins(68.3%)

Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roosevelt Roberts at -240 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jim Miller threatens submissions; Roosevelt Roberts has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Roosevelt Roberts

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1516

Elo

1489

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Roosevelt RobertsL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brok Weaver · May 20

vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21

SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23

vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricRoosevelt Roberts

2.92

Strikes / min

2.84

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

56%

Strike defense

52%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

1.18

47%

Takedown defense

50%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerRoosevelt Roberts

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +27.0|Blue -27.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetRoosevelt Roberts

By target zone

0% acc

Head

100% acc · 100%

100% acc · 50%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

100% acc · 50%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 50%

Ground

100% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Roosevelt Roberts rounds

Round 1Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control1:48

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 3

Sig Strikes

1 / 2

66%

Sig Str %

50%

9 / 10

Total Strikes

7 / 8

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:48

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Roosevelt Roberts	1 / 2	7 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Jim Miller	2 / 3	9 / 10	0 / 0	1

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Roosevelt Roberts

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10