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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jim Miller won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1516

Elo1351

Jim MillervsKamal ShalorusUFC Prediction Result

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · Saturday, March 19, 2011Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Jim Miller won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:15

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsKamal Shalorus: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(78.4%)

Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jim Miller at -255 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jim Miller threatens submissions; Kamal Shalorus has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Kamal Shalorus has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Kamal Shalorus has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Kamal Shalorus

Blue Corner

-255

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1516

Elo

1351

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Kamal ShalorusL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Jan 12

SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricKamal Shalorus

2.92

Strikes / min

3.06

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

2.99

56%

Strike defense

70%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

2.07

47%

Takedown defense

80%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerKamal Shalorus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Kamal Shalorus(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +164.7|Blue -164.7

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetKamal Shalorus

By target zone

27% acc · 70%

Head

12% acc · 54%

60% acc · 21%

Body

75% acc · 23%

80% acc · 9%

Leg

75% acc · 23%

By position

26% acc · 70%

Distance

20% acc · 96%

63% acc · 12%

Clinch

0% acc

89% acc · 19%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Kamal Shalorus rounds

Round 1Kamal Shalorus edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 2Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:20

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 131

Sig Strikes

26 / 130

31.7%

Sig Str %

17.3%

76 / 172

Total Strikes

34 / 138

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:26

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kamal Shalorus	18 / 61	26 / 69	1 / 1	0
1	Jim Miller	20 / 66	35 / 81	0 / 0	0
2	Kamal Shalorus	4 / 29	4 / 29	0 / 0	0
2	Jim Miller	5 / 19	19 / 41	1 / 1	2
3	Kamal Shalorus	4 / 40	4 / 40	0 / 2	0
3	Jim Miller	18 / 46	22 / 50	0 / 0	0

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Kamal Shalorus

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3