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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jim Miller won · U-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1492

Jim MillervsJoe LauzonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · Saturday, December 29, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jim Miller won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsJoe Lauzon: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jim Miller at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Joe Lauzon

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1516

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Joe Lauzon

oldest →

vs Marcin Held · Jan 17

vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17

KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17

KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricJoe Lauzon

2.92

Strikes / min

2.84

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

56%

Strike defense

54%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

2.39

47%

Takedown defense

54%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-2.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerJoe Lauzon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Joe Lauzon(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.3|Blue -24.3

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetJoe Lauzon

By target zone

37% acc · 67%

Head

23% acc · 71%

76% acc · 21%

Body

75% acc · 17%

73% acc · 12%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

36% acc · 63%

Distance

24% acc · 74%

75% acc · 30%

Clinch

64% acc · 20%

70% acc · 8%

Ground

67% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Joe Lauzon rounds

Round 1Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:20

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:31

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 3Jim Miller edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:20

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

91 / 204

Sig Strikes

35 / 123

43.7%

Sig Str %

27.7%

96 / 210

Total Strikes

40 / 128

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:11

Ctrl Time

2:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joe Lauzon	16 / 60	16 / 60	0 / 1	0
1	Jim Miller	46 / 103	46 / 103	0 / 0	1
2	Joe Lauzon	3 / 11	8 / 16	0 / 0	1
2	Jim Miller	8 / 19	12 / 23	1 / 1	1
3	Joe Lauzon	16 / 52	16 / 52	0 / 0	2
3	Jim Miller	37 / 82	38 / 84	0 / 0	0

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Joe Lauzon

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights20