Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · Submission R1
Elo1516
Jim Miller
Elo1483
Jared Gordon

Jim MillervsJared GordonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Jim Miller won

Submission · Round 1 · 3:29

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsJared Gordon: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gordon
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1516
Elo
1483
42
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller
oldest →
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23
W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24
L
vs King Green · Apr 24
W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24
L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25
latest
Jared Gordon
oldest →
L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22
W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23
L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24
W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25
L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricJared Gordon
2.92
Strikes / min
5.57
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.91
47%
Takedown defense
60%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+1.46
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Jim Miller(10 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +33.6|Blue -33.6
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights40

Jared Gordon

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17