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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dan Hooker won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1516

Elo1484

Jim MillervsDan HookerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · Saturday, April 21, 2018Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:00

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsDan Hooker: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Dan Hooker wins(55.0%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Hooker at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Hooker has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (54.1%).
Dan Hooker has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Dan Hooker

Blue Corner

+250

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-300

(75%)

1516

Elo

1484

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Dan HookerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22

vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24

SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricDan Hooker

2.92

Strikes / min

4.82

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

56%

Strike defense

49%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

0.68

47%

Takedown defense

77%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerDan Hooker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.1|Blue -32.1

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetDan Hooker

By target zone

38% acc · 60%

Head

45% acc · 63%

100% acc · 20%

Body

100% acc · 17%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

71% acc · 21%

By position

47% acc · 80%

Distance

53% acc · 96%

67% acc · 20%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Dan Hooker rounds

Round 1Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:27

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 20

Sig Strikes

24 / 44

50%

Sig Str %

54%

13 / 23

Total Strikes

24 / 44

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

0:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Hooker	24 / 44	24 / 44	0 / 0	0
1	Jim Miller	10 / 20	13 / 23	1 / 2	0

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24