← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Alexa Grasso won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1512

Ji Yeon KimvsAlexa GrassoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Saturday, August 29, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexa Grasso won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJi Yeon Kim: Pressure fightervsAlexa Grasso: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Alexa Grasso wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexa Grasso at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ji Yeon Kim enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ji Yeon Kim has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ji Yeon Kim

Red Corner

Alexa Grasso

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-315

(76%)

1458

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

182.88 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ji Yeon KimL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nadia Kassem · Oct 19

vs Molly McCann · Sep 21

vs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 22

vs Joselyne Edwards · Jul 22

vs Mandy Bohm · May 23

latest

Alexa Grasso

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22

SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24

vs Natalia Silva · May 25

KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ji Yeon KimMetricAlexa Grasso

5.37

Strikes / min

4.11

5.41

Strikes absorbed / min

3.71

56%

Strike defense

58%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.40

50%

Takedown defense

54%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ji Yeon KimAlexa Grasso

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ji Yeon Kim(10 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -54.0|Blue +54.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ji Yeon KimTargetAlexa Grasso

By target zone

34% acc · 90%

Head

38% acc · 58%

67% acc · 6%

Body

83% acc · 22%

60% acc · 4%

Leg

72% acc · 20%

By position

35% acc · 96%

Distance

47% acc · 92%

75% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

80% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ji Yeon Kim rounds

even

Alexa Grasso rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexa Grasso edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexa Grasso edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:46

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 188

Sig Strikes

88 / 182

34.7%

Sig Str %

48.3%

85 / 206

Total Strikes

123 / 220

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:46

Ctrl Time

2:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alexa Grasso	36 / 77	36 / 77	0 / 0
1	Ji Yeon Kim	35 / 79	35 / 79	0 / 0
2	Alexa Grasso	36 / 73	37 / 74	0 / 0
2	Ji Yeon Kim	22 / 73	22 / 73	0 / 0
3	Alexa Grasso	16 / 32	50 / 69	1 / 2
3	Ji Yeon Kim	11 / 36	28 / 54	0 / 0

Ji Yeon Kim

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10

Alexa Grasso

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights14