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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Stephanie Egger won · SUB R1

Elo1460

Elo1490

Jessica-Rose ClarkvsStephanie EggerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Stephanie Egger won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:44

Style matchupJessica-Rose Clark: Well-roundedvsStephanie Egger: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Stephanie Egger wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Stephanie Egger wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stephanie Egger at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stephanie Egger threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.
Stephanie Egger has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica-Rose Clark

Red Corner

Stephanie Egger

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1460

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica-Rose ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Nov 19

KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20

vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22

SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23

latest

Stephanie EggerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shanna Young · Oct 21

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Aug 22

SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 22

SUBvs Irina Alekseeva · Apr 23

vs Luana Santos · Dec 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica-Rose ClarkMetricStephanie Egger

3.73

Strikes / min

2.20

3.51

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

58%

Strike defense

52%

1.66

TDs / 15 min

2.48

62%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.22evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica-Rose ClarkStephanie Egger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)Stephanie Egger(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -30.3|Blue +30.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica-Rose ClarkTargetStephanie Egger

By target zone

50% acc · 50%

Head

50% acc · 100%

Body

50% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

83% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica-Rose Clark rounds

even

Stephanie Egger rounds

Round 1Stephanie Egger edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control2:01

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 4

Sig Strikes

5 / 10

50%

Sig Str %

50%

10 / 13

Total Strikes

29 / 34

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 2

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:01

Ctrl Time

1:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Stephanie Egger	5 / 10	29 / 34	2 / 2	1
1	Jessica-Rose Clark	2 / 4	10 / 13	1 / 1	0

Jessica-Rose Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights9

Stephanie Egger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7