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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Julija Stoliarenko won · SUB R1
Elo1460
Jessica-Rose Clark
Elo1487
Julija Stoliarenko

Jessica-Rose ClarkvsJulija StoliarenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Saturday, July 2, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Julija Stoliarenko won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:42

Model Prediction: Julija Stoliarenko wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Julija Stoliarenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julija Stoliarenko at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Julija Stoliarenko threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.
  • Jessica-Rose Clark has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica-Rose Clark
Red Corner
VS
Julija Stoliarenko
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1460
Elo
1487
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica-Rose ClarkL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Nov 19
W
KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20
W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21
L
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22
L
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23
latest
Julija StoliarenkoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alexis Davis · Feb 22
L
KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Molly McCann · Jul 23
L
KOvs Luana Carolina · Feb 24
L
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica-Rose ClarkMetricJulija Stoliarenko
3.73
Strikes / min
2.74
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
58%
Strike defense
46%
1.66
TDs / 15 min
0.78
62%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1510 vs 1441Strikes3.7 vs 2.5Takedowns1.7 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.30 vs 1.70Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Jessica-Rose ClarkJulija Stoliarenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)Julija Stoliarenko(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -27.6|Blue +27.6
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica-Rose ClarkTargetJulija Stoliarenko

By target zone

6
46% acc · 67%
Head
6
67% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 11%
Body
0
2
100% acc · 22%
Leg
0

By position

7
54% acc · 78%
Distance
6
67% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 22%
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jessica-Rose Clark rounds
1
even
0
Julija Stoliarenko rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:17Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
9 / 16
Sig Strikes
6 / 9
56%
Sig Str %
66%
9 / 16
Total Strikes
6 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:17

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Julija Stoliarenko6 / 96 / 91 / 11
1Jessica-Rose Clark9 / 169 / 160 / 00

Jessica-Rose Clark

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9

Julija Stoliarenko

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9