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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jessica-Rose Clark won · U-DEC R3

Elo1460

Elo1567

Jessica-Rose ClarkvsJoselyne EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Saturday, October 23, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jessica-Rose Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica-Rose Clark: Well-roundedvsJoselyne Edwards: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Joselyne Edwards wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Jessica-Rose Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joselyne Edwards at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Joselyne Edwards enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica-Rose Clark

Red Corner

Joselyne Edwards

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1460

Elo

1567

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

162.56 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica-Rose ClarkL3 streak

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Nov 19

KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20

SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22

SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23

latest

Joselyne EdwardsW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tamires Vidal · Oct 24

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Apr 25

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 25

SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Feb 26

DECvs Norma Dumont · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica-Rose ClarkMetricJoselyne Edwards

3.73

Strikes / min

4.61

3.51

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

58%

Strike defense

50%

1.66

TDs / 15 min

1.29

62%

Takedown defense

62%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.22Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica-Rose ClarkJoselyne Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)Joselyne Edwards(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -107.1|Blue +107.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +119.0|Blue -119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica-Rose ClarkTargetJoselyne Edwards

By target zone

53% acc · 50%

Head

58% acc · 63%

100% acc · 28%

Body

78% acc · 23%

80% acc · 22%

Leg

67% acc · 13%

By position

53% acc · 56%

Distance

56% acc · 77%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

100% acc · 22%

Ground

100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica-Rose Clark rounds

even

Joselyne Edwards rounds

Round 1Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control3:33

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 2Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control3:24

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 3Jessica-Rose Clark edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control4:43

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 27

Sig Strikes

30 / 48

64.7%

Sig Str %

63.7%

54 / 74

Total Strikes

72 / 94

5 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

49.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

11:40

Ctrl Time

1:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joselyne Edwards	9 / 19	24 / 34	0 / 0
1	Jessica-Rose Clark	3 / 6	19 / 25	2 / 6
2	Joselyne Edwards	11 / 16	19 / 27	0 / 0
2	Jessica-Rose Clark	9 / 13	21 / 28	1 / 2
3	Joselyne Edwards	10 / 13	29 / 33	0 / 0
3	Jessica-Rose Clark	6 / 8	14 / 21	2 / 3

Jessica-Rose Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights9

Joselyne Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12