← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Penne won · S-DEC

Elo1492

Elo1507

Jessica PennevsLoopy GodinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Saturday, April 17, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Penne won

S-DEC

Model Prediction: Loopy Godinez wins(61.8%)

Actual result: Jessica Penne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loopy Godinez at -250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Loopy Godinez has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Loopy Godinez has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jessica Penne has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Penne

Red Corner

Loopy Godinez

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1492

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'2"

170.18 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica PenneL3 streak

oldest →

vs Danielle Taylor · Apr 17

SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21

vs Emily Ducote · Jul 22

SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23

vs Elise Reed · Oct 24

latest

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica PenneMetricLoopy Godinez

2.63

Strikes / min

4.43

5.05

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

45%

Strike defense

62%

1.29

TDs / 15 min

2.99

36%

Takedown defense

76%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.42Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica PenneLoopy Godinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Penne(9 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.5|Blue +15.5

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica PenneTargetLoopy Godinez

By target zone

30% acc · 61%

Head

49% acc · 78%

50% acc · 39%

Body

88% acc · 18%

Leg

67% acc · 5%

By position

35% acc · 94%

Distance

54% acc · 93%

40% acc · 6%

Clinch

75% acc · 8%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Penne rounds

even

Loopy Godinez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:43

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 2Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control1:49

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:06Control

Round 3Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:58

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:26Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 87

Sig Strikes

40 / 74

32.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

98 / 158

Total Strikes

68 / 106

1 / 7

TDs

3 / 9

33.3%

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:30

Ctrl Time

4:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Loopy Godinez	13 / 31	22 / 41	2 / 4
1	Jessica Penne	15 / 40	27 / 55	1 / 1
2	Loopy Godinez	17 / 24	26 / 33	1 / 3
2	Jessica Penne	13 / 30	24 / 42	0 / 1
3	Loopy Godinez	10 / 19	20 / 32	0 / 2
3	Jessica Penne	3 / 17	47 / 61	0 / 5

Jessica Penne

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14