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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Maycee Barber won · U-DEC R3
Elo1428
Jessica Eye
Elo1514
Maycee Barber

Jessica EyevsMaycee BarberUFC Prediction Result

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Saturday, July 2, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Eye: Well-roundedvsMaycee Barber: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(79.4%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Eye enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye
Red Corner
VS
Maycee Barber
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-315
(76%)
1428
Elo
1514
40
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 19
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20
L
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21
latest
Maycee Barber
oldest →
W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23
W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23
W
vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24
W
vs Karine Silva · Dec 25
L
KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricMaycee Barber
3.86
Strikes / min
4.56
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
55%
Strike defense
55%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
1.56
57%
Takedown defense
51%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap+1.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1462 vs 1546Strikes3.9 vs 4.7Takedowns0.6 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.10Form-0.8 vs 0.6
Jessica EyeMaycee Barber

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Jessica Eye(10 fights)Maycee Barber(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -85.1|Blue +85.1
Recent Form
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +287.0|Blue -287.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetMaycee Barber

By target zone

23
48% acc · 66%
Head
45
58% acc · 71%
9
90% acc · 26%
Body
16
94% acc · 25%
3
75% acc · 9%
Leg
2
100% acc · 3%

By position

17
41% acc · 49%
Distance
23
45% acc · 37%
16
84% acc · 46%
Clinch
35
85% acc · 56%
2
100% acc · 6%
Ground
5
100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jessica Eye rounds
0
even
2
Maycee Barber rounds
Round 1Maycee Barber edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control2:59
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 2Jessica Eye edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:52
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Maycee Barber edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:18
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
35 / 62
Sig Strikes
63 / 97
59.3%
Sig Str %
62.7%
76 / 106
Total Strikes
83 / 117
1 / 4
TDs
0 / 0
25%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:09
Ctrl Time
1:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Maycee Barber21 / 2635 / 400 / 00
1Jessica Eye12 / 1634 / 380 / 00
2Maycee Barber7 / 1513 / 210 / 00
2Jessica Eye5 / 919 / 261 / 20
3Maycee Barber35 / 5635 / 560 / 00
3Jessica Eye18 / 3723 / 420 / 20

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights15

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13