Skip to content
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Eye won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1428
Jessica Eye
Elo1491
Leslie Smith

Jessica EyevsLeslie SmithUFC Prediction Result

UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · Saturday, November 15, 2014Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Jessica Eye won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:30

Style matchupJessica Eye: Well-roundedvsLeslie Smith: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Leslie Smith wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Jessica Eye wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leslie Smith at +265 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye
Red Corner
VS
Leslie Smith
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1428
Elo
1491
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20
L
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21
L
vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22
latest
Leslie SmithW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jessamyn Duke · Jul 14
W
vs Rin Nakai · Mar 16
L
KOvs Cris Cyborg · May 16
W
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 16
W
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricLeslie Smith
3.86
Strikes / min
7.56
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
8.41
55%
Strike defense
51%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
62%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1501Strikes56.0 vs 57.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.1
Jessica EyeLeslie Smith

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jessica Eye(10 fights)Leslie Smith(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -62.3|Blue +62.3
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +144.0|Blue -144.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetLeslie Smith

By target zone

55
35% acc · 69%
Head
21
24% acc · 75%
7
78% acc · 9%
Body
1
25% acc · 4%
18
90% acc · 23%
Leg
6
100% acc · 21%

By position

76
42% acc · 95%
Distance
26
27% acc · 93%
4
80% acc · 5%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 7%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Jessica Eye rounds
0
even
0
Leslie Smith rounds
Round 1Jessica Eye edged it
Sig. strikes64
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jessica Eye edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
80 / 185
Sig Strikes
28 / 98
43%
Sig Str %
30%
84 / 189
Total Strikes
29 / 100
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Leslie Smith22 / 8022 / 810 / 00
1Jessica Eye64 / 14964 / 1490 / 00
2Leslie Smith6 / 187 / 190 / 00
2Jessica Eye16 / 3620 / 400 / 00

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights15

Leslie Smith

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7