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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Julianna Pena won · U-DEC R3

Elo1428

Elo1496

Jessica EyevsJulianna PenaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · Saturday, October 3, 2015Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Julianna Pena won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Julianna Pena wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Julianna Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julianna Pena at -260 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jessica Eye has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye

Red Corner

Julianna Pena

Blue Corner

+220

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-260

(72%)

1428

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Julianna Pena

oldest →

SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21

SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21

vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22

vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24

SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricJulianna Pena

3.86

Strikes / min

3.10

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.56

55%

Strike defense

57%

0.58

TDs / 15 min

1.70

57%

Takedown defense

24%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica EyeJulianna Pena

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Eye(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -67.8|Blue +67.8

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +2.7|Blue -2.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetJulianna Pena

By target zone

49% acc · 57%

Head

42% acc · 65%

64% acc · 30%

Body

75% acc · 26%

80% acc · 13%

Leg

75% acc · 9%

By position

50% acc · 57%

Distance

32% acc · 38%

56% acc · 30%

Clinch

67% acc · 24%

100% acc · 13%

Ground

87% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Eye rounds

even

Julianna Pena rounds

Round 1Julianna Pena edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control2:00

20Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:09Control

Round 2Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:44

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 3Julianna Pena edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 54

Sig Strikes

34 / 68

58%

Sig Str %

47.3%

77 / 104

Total Strikes

100 / 139

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 6

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:44

Ctrl Time

7:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Julianna Pena	20 / 32	49 / 63	2 / 4	0
1	Jessica Eye	15 / 28	22 / 36	0 / 0	0
2	Julianna Pena	6 / 20	24 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Jessica Eye	11 / 20	35 / 44	1 / 1	1
3	Julianna Pena	8 / 16	27 / 37	1 / 2	3
3	Jessica Eye	4 / 6	20 / 24	0 / 0	0

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15

Julianna Pena

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12