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Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
Cynthia Calvillo won · U-DEC R5
Elo1428
Jessica Eye
Elo1455
Cynthia Calvillo

Jessica EyevsCynthia CalvilloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · Saturday, June 13, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cynthia Calvillo won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Eye: Well-roundedvsCynthia Calvillo: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Cynthia Calvillo wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Cynthia Calvillo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cynthia Calvillo at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Eye enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Cynthia Calvillo has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye
Red Corner
VS
Cynthia Calvillo
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1428
Elo
1455
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 19
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19
L
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21
L
vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22
latest
Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21
L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21
L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricCynthia Calvillo
3.86
Strikes / min
4.41
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
55%
Strike defense
64%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
1.80
57%
Takedown defense
77%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1505 vs 1558Strikes3.8 vs 4.1Takedowns0.5 vs 1.8Sub Atts0.70 vs 1.60Form0.5 vs 0.7
Jessica EyeCynthia Calvillo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jessica Eye(10 fights)Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -26.1|Blue +26.1
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff
Red -300.0|Blue +300.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetCynthia Calvillo

By target zone

59
23% acc · 84%
Head
77
42% acc · 68%
10
59% acc · 14%
Body
32
67% acc · 28%
1
50% acc · 1%
Leg
4
100% acc · 4%

By position

69
25% acc · 99%
Distance
105
47% acc · 93%
1
25% acc · 1%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 1%
0
Ground
7
64% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jessica Eye rounds
0
even
5
Cynthia Calvillo rounds
Round 1Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:47Control
Round 3Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 4Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:13Control
Round 5Cynthia Calvillo edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
70 / 280
Sig Strikes
113 / 237
24%
Sig Str %
50.8%
70 / 283
Total Strikes
150 / 294
0 / 0
TDs
4 / 7
—
TD %
70.8%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
7:46

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cynthia Calvillo24 / 6824 / 680 / 00
1Jessica Eye20 / 8220 / 820 / 00
2Cynthia Calvillo12 / 1830 / 431 / 30
2Jessica Eye7 / 237 / 230 / 00
3Cynthia Calvillo23 / 5326 / 561 / 10
3Jessica Eye14 / 5514 / 550 / 00
4Jessica Eye5 / 345 / 370 / 00
4Cynthia Calvillo17 / 3033 / 591 / 20
5Cynthia Calvillo37 / 6837 / 681 / 10
5Jessica Eye24 / 8624 / 860 / 00

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights15

Cynthia Calvillo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12