← All fights/Event page

Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Bethe Correia won · S-DEC R3

Elo1428

Elo1409

Jessica EyevsBethe CorreiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Saturday, September 10, 2016Cleveland, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Bethe Correia won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Eye: Well-roundedvsBethe Correia: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Bethe Correia wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Bethe Correia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bethe Correia at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Bethe Correia has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Eye

Red Corner

Bethe Correia

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1428

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Bethe CorreiaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17

SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica EyeMetricBethe Correia

3.86

Strikes / min

4.37

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

4.93

55%

Strike defense

56%

0.58

TDs / 15 min

0.39

57%

Takedown defense

85%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica EyeBethe Correia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Eye(10 fights)Bethe Correia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +19.6|Blue -19.6

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -43.0|Blue +43.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica EyeTargetBethe Correia

By target zone

18% acc · 56%

Head

27% acc · 65%

50% acc · 15%

Body

44% acc · 8%

79% acc · 29%

Leg

59% acc · 27%

By position

25% acc · 90%

Distance

31% acc · 90%

63% acc · 10%

Clinch

83% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Eye rounds

even

Bethe Correia rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:03

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 199

Sig Strikes

49 / 150

26%

Sig Str %

32.3%

63 / 210

Total Strikes

69 / 170

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bethe Correia	15 / 45	17 / 47	0 / 0
1	Jessica Eye	14 / 68	17 / 71	0 / 0
2	Bethe Correia	18 / 54	19 / 55	0 / 3
2	Jessica Eye	20 / 75	21 / 76	0 / 0
3	Bethe Correia	16 / 51	33 / 68	0 / 0
3	Jessica Eye	18 / 56	25 / 63	0 / 0

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights11