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Women's Strawweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Zhang Weili won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1484

Elo1509

Jessica AndradevsZhang WeiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · Saturday, August 31, 2019Shenzhen, Guangdong, China

Official fight result

Zhang Weili won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:42

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsZhang Weili: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(64.2%)

Actual result: Zhang Weili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Zhang Weili

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1484

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'1"

Height

5'4"

157.48 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Zhang Weili

oldest →

SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22

vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23

vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 24

vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricZhang Weili

6.37

Strikes / min

4.66

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

54%

Strike defense

53%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

1.96

75%

Takedown defense

63%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeZhang Weili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Zhang Weili(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -25.1|Blue +25.1

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetZhang Weili

By target zone

22% acc · 50%

Head

64% acc · 55%

50% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 24%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

27% acc · 75%

Distance

65% acc · 52%

100% acc · 25%

Clinch

100% acc · 45%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Zhang Weili rounds

Round 1Zhang Weili edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 12

Sig Strikes

29 / 38

33%

Sig Str %

76%

4 / 12

Total Strikes

29 / 38

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zhang Weili	29 / 38	29 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Jessica Andrade	4 / 12	4 / 12	0 / 0	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Zhang Weili

StanceSwitch

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights9