Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Yan Xiaonan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1484

Elo1500

Jessica AndradevsYan XiaonanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · Saturday, May 6, 2023Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Yan Xiaonan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:20

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsYan Xiaonan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Yan Xiaonan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Yan Xiaonan

Blue Corner

-180

(64%)

Vegas Odds

—

1484

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'5"

157.48 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Yan Xiaonan

oldest →

vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 22

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22

vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24

vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricYan Xiaonan

6.37

Strikes / min

4.69

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

54%

Strike defense

60%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

0.84

75%

Takedown defense

64%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+1.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeYan Xiaonan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -16.0|Blue +16.0

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetYan Xiaonan

By target zone

22% acc · 42%

Head

55% acc · 46%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 19%

67% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 35%

By position

38% acc · 100%

Distance

70% acc · 88%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Yan Xiaonan rounds

Round 1Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 32

Sig Strikes

26 / 36

37%

Sig Str %

72%

12 / 32

Total Strikes

26 / 36

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yan Xiaonan	26 / 36	26 / 36	0 / 0	0
1	Jessica Andrade	12 / 32	12 / 32	0 / 0	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights13