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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1394

Jessica AndradevsSarah MorasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · Wednesday, July 15, 2015San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sarah Moras wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sarah Moras at +400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jessica Andrade has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sarah Moras has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Sarah Moras

Blue Corner

-500

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

1484

Elo

1394

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Sarah MorasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18

KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19

KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20

vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricSarah Moras

6.37

Strikes / min

2.28

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

54%

Strike defense

50%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

0.67

75%

Takedown defense

33%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeSarah Moras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Sarah Moras(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +89.2|Blue -89.2

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +3.7|Blue -3.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -231.0|Blue +231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetSarah Moras

By target zone

49% acc · 72%

Head

31% acc · 89%

82% acc · 18%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

37% acc · 34%

Distance

29% acc · 83%

Clinch

75% acc · 17%

75% acc · 66%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Sarah Moras rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control2:16

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control3:57

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control2:52

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 90

Sig Strikes

18 / 56

58.3%

Sig Str %

34.3%

158 / 206

Total Strikes

23 / 61

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 8

66.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

9:05

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sarah Moras	7 / 25	9 / 27	0 / 6	0
1	Jessica Andrade	17 / 39	33 / 57	1 / 1	0
2	Sarah Moras	7 / 13	10 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Jessica Andrade	16 / 21	76 / 85	2 / 2	0
3	Sarah Moras	4 / 18	4 / 18	0 / 2	1
3	Jessica Andrade	17 / 30	49 / 64	0 / 1	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Sarah Moras

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9