Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raquel Pennington won · SUB R2

Elo1484

Elo1504

Jessica AndradevsRaquel PenningtonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · Saturday, September 5, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Raquel Pennington won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:58

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsRaquel Pennington: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Raquel Pennington has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Raquel Pennington

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1484

Elo

1504

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Raquel Pennington

oldest →

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21

vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24

vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricRaquel Pennington

6.37

Strikes / min

4.10

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.32

54%

Strike defense

61%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

0.83

75%

Takedown defense

62%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeRaquel Pennington

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.9|Blue +20.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -137.0|Blue +137.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetRaquel Pennington

By target zone

48% acc · 46%

Head

50% acc · 63%

80% acc · 29%

Body

91% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

63% acc · 63%

Distance

50% acc · 41%

60% acc · 37%

Clinch

73% acc · 54%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Raquel Pennington rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns4

Control3:17

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:10

19Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 66

Sig Strikes

41 / 68

62.5%

Sig Str %

60.5%

59 / 87

Total Strikes

66 / 96

4 / 5

TDs

2 / 2

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:27

Ctrl Time

3:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Raquel Pennington	22 / 31	40 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Jessica Andrade	13 / 20	30 / 38	4 / 4	0
2	Raquel Pennington	19 / 37	26 / 46	2 / 2	1
2	Jessica Andrade	28 / 46	29 / 49	0 / 1	1

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Raquel Pennington

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19