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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Andrade won · S-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1483

Jessica AndradevsMarina RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Saturday, April 13, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsMarina Rodriguez: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Marina Rodriguez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1484

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'6"

157.48 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Aug 23

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Marina RodriguezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Amanda Lemos · Nov 22

vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23

KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24

KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricMarina Rodriguez

6.37

Strikes / min

4.51

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.01

54%

Strike defense

55%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

0.27

75%

Takedown defense

61%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeMarina Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetMarina Rodriguez

By target zone

32% acc · 39%

Head

34% acc · 85%

78% acc · 16%

Body

53% acc · 11%

77% acc · 45%

Leg

75% acc · 4%

By position

48% acc · 89%

Distance

35% acc · 94%

64% acc · 8%

Clinch

83% acc · 6%

75% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Marina Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:44

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:23

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control0:46

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

89 / 180

Sig Strikes

82 / 228

51.3%

Sig Str %

37.3%

124 / 220

Total Strikes

94 / 241

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:53

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Marina Rodriguez	16 / 36	27 / 48	0 / 0	0
1	Jessica Andrade	14 / 23	49 / 63	0 / 0	0
2	Marina Rodriguez	35 / 107	35 / 107	0 / 0	0
2	Jessica Andrade	42 / 86	42 / 86	0 / 0	0
3	Marina Rodriguez	31 / 85	32 / 86	0 / 0	1
3	Jessica Andrade	33 / 71	33 / 71	1 / 1	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Marina Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13