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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Andrade won · SUB R1

Elo1484

Elo1354

Jessica AndradevsLarissa PachecoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Saturday, September 13, 2014Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:33

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jessica Andrade has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Larissa Pacheco has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Larissa Pacheco

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1484

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Larissa Pacheco

oldest →

KOvs Germaine de Randamie · Mar 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricLarissa Pacheco

6.37

Strikes / min

1.21

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

54%

Strike defense

55%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79Δ 3.72 — meaningful gap-2.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeLarissa Pacheco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Larissa Pacheco(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +129.2|Blue -129.2

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -47.4|Blue +47.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetLarissa Pacheco

By target zone

74% acc · 74%

Head

42% acc · 83%

100% acc · 26%

Body

100% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

25% acc · 5%

Distance

38% acc · 50%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

90% acc · 95%

Ground

50% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Larissa Pacheco rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control4:23

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 24

Sig Strikes

6 / 13

79%

Sig Str %

46%

44 / 52

Total Strikes

11 / 18

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:23

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Larissa Pacheco	6 / 13	11 / 18	0 / 1	0
1	Jessica Andrade	19 / 24	44 / 52	1 / 1	2

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Larissa Pacheco

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights2