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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · SUB R1
Elo1484
Elo1493
Joanne Calderwood

Jessica AndradevsJoanne CalderwoodUFC Prediction Result

UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Saturday, September 10, 2016Cleveland, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:38

Model Prediction: Joanne Calderwood wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanne Calderwood at +110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Joanne Calderwood
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1484
Elo
1493
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'6"
157.48 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24
L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25
latest
Joanne Calderwood
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19
W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19
L
SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricJoanne Calderwood
6.37
Strikes / min
—
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
2.10
TDs / 15 min
—
75%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1529 vs 1532Strikes64.4 vs 81.3Takedowns1.6 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.7
Jessica AndradeJoanne Calderwood

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -9.9|Blue +9.9
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1