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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jasmine Jasudavicius won · SUB R1

Elo1484

Elo1542

Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration

Jessica AndradevsJasmine JasudaviciusUFC Prediction Result

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · Saturday, May 10, 2025Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Jasmine Jasudavicius won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:40

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsJasmine Jasudavicius: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jasmine Jasudavicius at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jasmine Jasudavicius has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-275

(73%)

1484

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Aug 23

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Jasmine Jasudavicius

oldest →

vs Fatima Kline · Jul 24

SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25

KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25

DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricJasmine Jasudavicius

6.37

Strikes / min

3.47

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

54%

Strike defense

51%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

2.63

75%

Takedown defense

75%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeJasmine Jasudavicius

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -58.8|Blue +58.8

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetJasmine Jasudavicius

By target zone

0% acc

Head

56% acc · 82%

Body

100% acc · 9%

80% acc · 100%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

53% acc · 73%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds

Round 1Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:12Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 8

Sig Strikes

11 / 18

50%

Sig Str %

61%

4 / 8

Total Strikes

27 / 37

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	11 / 18	27 / 37	1 / 2	1
1	Jessica Andrade	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11